English

GEAB N°39 is available! Global systemic crisis – States faced with three brutal options in 2010: inflation, high taxation or default

- Public announcement GEAB N°39 (November 16, 2009) - As anticipated by LEAP/E2020 last February, in the absence of major reappraisal of the international monetary order, the world is now entering the phase of geopolitical dislocation of the global systemic crisis. In 2010, as protectionism and the economic and social...


Programmed failure of US and Chinese economic stimulus plans: The 'absorption capacity barrier'

- Excerpt GEAB N°35 (May 16, 2009) - Despite impressive budgets, the two largest economic stimulus plans to date - those initiated by the governments of the United States and the People's Republic of China - are doomed to fail or at best to slightly soften the worst consequences of the current crisis. Beyond the very different...


Traffic-Info LEAP/E2020 - Over one million single visitors in 6 months on leap2020.eu

Between January 1st and June 30th 2009, more than one million single visitors from some 150 different countries visited LEAP's website. These visitors come from first from the European Union (45%), then North America (31%), Asia (15%) and Latin America (7%)... Among the first fifteen countries of origin, we find: France,...


LEAP/E2020 and Paris-Sorbonne university announce world premiere in the field of education in political anticipation and strategy

Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP) and Paris-Sorbonne’s Doctoral School of "Modern and Contemporary History" launch at the start of the new academic year (2009-2010) a research seminar entitled "Europe. Anticipation. Strategy" open, on the one hand, to Master 2 and PhD students of the Sorbonne, and, on the...


Open letter / London G20 Summit: Last chance before global geopolitical dislocation

Open letter to the G20 leaders, published in the Financial Times' worldwide edition on 03/24/2009 Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a crisis that will take at least a decade to resolve,...


GEAB Archives Offer (1) - Six archive issues of your choice for 50 euros

Yesterday's anticipation is up-to-date today! For 50 euros TTC, get six archive issues of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin of your choice (1). Order now! (1) Important ! This offer includes ALL past issues BUT the last 7 ones


GEAB N°39 - Contents

- Published on November 16, 2009 -

Global systemic crisis – States faced with three brutal options in 2010: inflation, high taxation or default
In the absence of major reappraisal of the international monetary order, the world is now entering the phase of geopolitical dislocation of the global systemic crisis. In 2010, as protectionism and the economic and social depression will gain momentum, a large number of States will be compelled to choose between three brutal options: inflation, high taxation or defaulting on their debt... (page 2)
Read public announcement

The end of the consumer-as-we-knew-him in the past thirty years
For sure the American consumer, incarnation of the American Dream since Henry Ford, has died. But the Western consumer (outside the US) as we knew him in the past thirty years is also wearing out. In addition to that, LEAP/E2020 believes that it is wrong to think that Asians and Latin-Americans will replace these « consuming machines » and enable « planet-profit » to go on as it used to do… (page 6)
Subscribe

Crisis exit: In collision with reality – Real state of things at the end of 2009: USA, Euroland, China
The United States, United Kingdom, or even Japan, striving to escape from defaulting, or France and Germany left with no other choice than raise taxes by the end of 2010, in any event, in 2010, as inflation will affect necessity goods and speculative assets, anti-crisis policies and the reality of the global systemic crisis will collide… (page 11)
Subscribe

Turkey’s awakening: Its gradual exit from the Western camp
Taking advantage of the ongoing systemic crisis, and of the weakening of the US and of the Western superstructure over which the latter’s might is based, Turkey has entered a process of fundamental redefinition of its key geopolitical interests. The new priorities ready to break out by 2012 will account for Ankara’s most profound reappraisal since the country joined NATO in 1952… (page 16)
Subscribe

Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies/Gold: Trends are being confirmed
. Real estate: Renting or buying? A choice requiring careful consideration
. Shares/Bonds: The tipping point is approaching
. « Liquidity surplus »: An iconoclastic explanation (page 20)
Subscribe

The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
The unanimity of respondents (99 percent) sees no sign of economic improvement in their country… (page 22)
Subscribe