Global Systemic Crisis – The European Union at a crossroads in 2010: an accomplice or a victim of the collapse of the dollar?
According to LEAP/E2020, in 2010, the European Union having four strategic core requirements, will be compelled to take a number of urgent decisions in a context of a fast collapse of the Western camp that could be summed up as the US Dollar’s fate. The decisions taken by the EU will define the role the Europeans will be playing in the post-crisis world... (page 2)
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EU faced with four strategic requirements in 2010
LEAP/E2020 develops anticipations regarding four strategic requirements for which the EU will need to find solutions in 2010. The speeding up of the crisis in a context of global geopolitical dislocation will make it impossible for European leaders to even think about escaping it. The nature of the answers found by the EU will shape the post-crisis world on a long-term basis… (page 7)
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Global geopolitical dislocation – Controlled nuclear dissemination: Urgent action is needed to avoid a direct Israel/Iran conflict
Strategy is a matter of turning quagmires into opportunities. And, indeed, there is a way to turn Iran’s nuclear crisis into a means of stabilizing the Middle-East and offering the world a few decades of strategic stability. The way consists of transforming the obsolete Nuclear Non-Proliferation treaty into a treaty of Controlled Nuclear Dissemination… (page 15)
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Country-risk (2009-2014): At a crossroads between the two terminal phases of the crisis, the decanting phase and the global geopolitical dislocation phase - Five groups of countries experiencing very different development
In this 38th issue of the GEAB, our team presents its « crisis-related country-risk » annual update. Their analysis is based on nine criteria. It is intended as a decision-support instrument which has already proved its relevance by accurately anticipating the developments of the past twelve months… (page 19)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies/Gold: The absolute necessity
. Interest rates: Warning! Danger straight ahead
. Shares/Bonds: Trend reversal in sight
. « Risk appetite » : An iconoclastic explanation (page 22)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
Citizens’ dissatisfaction with governments’ response to people’s expectations on European construction continues to move much higher (95 percent). Obviously the Irish ratification of the Lisbon Treaty has not changed European citizens’ feelings about the European actions of their leaders… (page 23)
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