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'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)




This month, the GlobalEurometre asked the following questions...

1. Do you think that a permanent political and economic secretariat of the Eurozone should be established?

2. Do you think that Euroland Summits should be established each quarter, prior to the EU Summits?

3. Do you feel that your country’s government is reflecting your people’s expectations regarding European construction?

4. Do you think that anti-democratic forces are on the rise in the European Union?

5. In the coming months, would you change your Euros for one of these currencies: US Dollar, Japanese Yen or British Pound?

6. In the coming months, would you change your Euros for gold?

7. Do you think that the European Central Bank should keep on reducing its main interest rate?

8. Do you think that inflation is back in your country?

9. Are you afraid of losing your job in the coming months due the global crisis?

10. Are you afraid of losing money in the coming months due to the global crisis?

11. Do you think that the US Dollar will collapse against all major world currencies in the coming months?

12. Do you think that the global crisis will be over in 2012?

13. Do you think that the USA will be able to borrow the money it needs to finance its deficits in 2009?

14. Do you think that the UK will be able to avoid calling the IMF for help in the coming months?

15. Are you afraid of social and political unrest in your country?

What is the GlobalEurometre?

Each month, GEAB teams consult for you 200 European opinion leaders b[(1) presenting at least 5 of the 7 following features:]b

. is under 45 years-old

. is in charge of an activity, a project, an organisation of European size

. is a field-expert of the EU on a daily basis in the economic, intellectual, political, editorial or social field

. is a « natural » net surfer

. speaks at least one foreign language

. has at least one child

. is a citizen of one of the 27 member states (in date of 2007).


To develop successfully such an instrument, five essential assets are required:

. a wide-ranging practical – human and not statistical - experience of the Europeans from all the member states

. an excellent practical experience of the operating modes of the entire EU decision-making system

. a time perspective enabling to gather the experience of at least one generation

. methods of European political anticipation having already proven their relevance on several occasions

. a complete independence of thought and analysis


Today in the European Union, only the European Laboratory of Political Anticipation Europe 2020 gathers these five assets and is able thus to offer each month to the subscribers of the ‘GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin' some useful indicators on the evolution of the EU in the short and medium term.

It is no longer a question of knowing if the citizens do or do not agree with such and such proposal from the institutions. It has become a question of anticipating what could/will arrive. For any economic or political decision maker, and for any researcher or analyst, we intend to provide with the GlobalEurometre a tool useful to their daily European activity.

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Note :

(1) The qualitative approach developed in the past decade by the LEAP/E2020 team, has enabled to build up a sample-group in a way that guarantees a high level of reliability in the European public opinion trends anticipated.

Each month, the GlobalEurometre's full results and analysis are in the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (on subscription)

Vendredi 9 Février 2007



In the same category:

Global Systemic Crisis - A weekly press review - 11/10/2006

GEAB N°43 - Contents

- Published on March 16, 2010 -

The crisis marks the end of pre-eminence in the financial sphere and the lasting decline of the City and Wall Street
It is a geopolitical, as much as an economic, financial and monetary approach which led LEAP, in February 2006, to announce the imminent arrival of what we have called « the global systemic crisis ». This same approach now tends to confirm that, in the « world after the crisis », the real economy will, once again, take on a central role, whilst these last few decades have been marked by a virtual economy in the financial sector being at the centre of affairs… (page 2)
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The five steps of the global geopolitical dislocation phase (page 7)
Beginning of the phase of global geopolitical dislocation (page 12)
Step 1: Monetary disputes and financial shocks (page 12)
Step 2: Trade disputes (page 14)
Step 3: State crises (page 14)
Step 4: Socio-political crises (page 16)
Step 5: Strategic crises (page 17)
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« Danger warning »: A list of eight sovereign risks more dangerous than Greece
Based on the most recent information available, the LEAP/E2020 team has refined its country risk classification published last autumn. From that it is clearly apparent that eight large countries are in a worse position than Greece, exactly confirming our anticipation that the Greek problem is only a tree hiding the forest… (page 18)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
Currencies, Stocks and Bonds, Country’s degree of socio-political risk… (page 20)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
A further change in the majority worried about the possibility of political and social upheaval in their country: those believing in such a development constitute, once again, a substantial majority this month (76% versus 57% who thought the opposite in February)… (page 22)
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